每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...

2020年已然接近尾声,然而全球新冠肺炎疫情却毫无偃旗息鼓的迹象。


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧:疫情加剧、封锁、解封、疫情反弹、再度封锁…


而反观国内,中国虽然是新冠疫情的早期受害者,但有力有效的疫情防控措施让中国社会经济生活迅速回归正轨。国际机构普遍预测,中国或成2020唯一正增长主要经济体。


国外疫情控制到底问题出在哪儿了?直到现在有些人都没弄清楚,这个病毒的最大社会属性就是打脸,轻视病毒,脸会被打肿!


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...


对比一下中外疫情防控的关键几步,可见一斑↓↓↓


封锁 | lockdown

新冠疫情出现后,中国政府迅速反应。为了防止新冠肺炎疫情更大规模地在全国范围内扩散,1月23日,中国做出了武汉“封城”的决定。


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...


这场针对整座城市的“隔离”起到了怎样的效果呢?


《科学》杂志今年3月发表的一项研究认为,武汉 “封城让中国新冠肺炎感染者的总病例数减少了 96%,可能阻止了超过70万病例的出现,对疫情的遏制起到了至关重要的作用。


但那会儿,武汉“封城”还被一些外媒和反华人士指责为“侵犯人权的极端措施”。


然而随着疫情在全球蔓延,且愈演愈烈,大有失控之态,一些国家才反应过来,不封不行了!


自3月开始,美国、加拿大以及欧洲多国开始实施不同程度的封锁限制措施,这些措施也的的确确缓和了疫情态势。


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...


不过有些政客迫于自己的票仓压力,却过早做出了解封的决定,比如即将卸任的美国总统特朗普,彼时就是如此。于是,美国解封最早、幅度最大的佛罗里达州、得克萨斯州等州迅速成为了疫情“新热点”。


疫情反弹后,不少国家又重新宣布封锁方案。比如德国,上周五单日新增新冠感染病例逼近3万,创下疫情爆发以来的最高纪录。为了遏制感染病例激增的局面,德国将从周三起进入严格封锁状态,所有学校和商店都将关闭。


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...


在英国,新冠感染率最高的伦敦自周三起,新冠防控级从二级提升至最高的三级,所有酒吧、咖啡厅和餐厅停止营业,只允许提供外卖服务。


Since COVID-19 was first reported in Wuhan, the temporary lockdown of cities in China was labelled as “extreme measures that infringe on human rights.”


But as the pandemic raged across the world, many countries took similar measures to ensure social distancing, including the lockdown of cities and travel restrictions.


However, the hasty decision to reopen cities in some countries while the spread of coronavirus was not yet under control has led to second waves of infection.


Many countries and areas have since reintroduced lockdown measures.


Germany will go into a "hard" national lockdown starting this week and continuing through the Christmas period, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said last weekend after agreeing with state governments on stricter measures aimed at stemming a fresh wave of coronavirus cases.


London will become the latest European city to undergo a festive lockdown as the UK government has placed the city into its strictest tier of regulations, effective from Wednesday and meaning that all hospitality venues including pubs, cafes and restaurants will close except for takeouts and delivery.


流调溯源 | contact tracing

封锁措施是防止疫情扩散的关键第一步,而当疫情出现后,锁定并控制传染源、及时隔离密切接触者、精准切断传播途径就显得尤为重要了。


中国在疫情发生后开展的严格流调工作,有效地阻断了新的传播。


以北京新发地疫情为例。在6月发现首例确诊病例“西城大爷”后,流调人员迅速对其活动轨迹进行调查,为相关部门锁定新发地市场并做出迅速反应提供了重要信息。


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...


“西城大爷”明确回忆了自己的行动轨迹,同时用大数据予以验证。在行动轨迹一致的情况下,利用大数据确定风险人群,再对风险人群进行检测并采取相应措施。


再看看大洋彼岸的美国,直到5月份美国疾控中心才出台关于确诊病例调查与密接追踪的“临时指导方案”,更不要提流调人员数量远远达不到实现有效追踪所需规模。


Contact tracing is a key component of controlling transmission of the coronavirus.


China's ability to track and trace cases across the country whenever there is the suggestion of a new cluster of infections has enabled the government to respond quickly and bring local epidemics under control.


The U.S. Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), however, did not issue guidelines on contact tracing until May, when confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the country were the highest in the world.


戴口罩 | mask mandate

疫情发生后,保持社交距离、佩戴口罩很快成为了中国人的常态做法。如果有人在室内公共场所不戴口罩,不仅会被众人异样的眼光问候,还可能被“请”出去。


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...


但在欧美国家,民众普遍认为只有病人才需要戴口罩,因此在疫情扩散初期,少有人自发佩戴口罩,戴口罩者还会被当作“异类”。一些官员、卫生机构及医疗专家也一再坚称健康者不必戴口罩,但这一明显判断失误的公共建议让民众付出了惨重的代价,一定程度上促使了病毒传播。


即便在后期,越来越多公共卫生专家呼吁民众戴口罩,还是有很多人不把口罩当回事儿。以美国为例,在得克萨斯、新泽西等23个州陆续颁布“口罩强制令”后,许多民众不仅不愿意戴,甚至还举行了大规模的抗议示威活动。类似情况在欧洲也比比皆是。


每天看国外消息,就像在看重播的电视剧...


Since the start of the coronavirus outbreak, China has mandated face masks in all indoor public spaces. To a certain extent, mask-wearing has become a social norm in the country.


In Western countries, however, resistance to wearing face masks is more common. Many people are still not wearing masks despite official advice, and some governments remain unconvinced on the science. Anti-mask rallies have been seen across the Western world amid the pandemic.



中国在抗疫过程中做对的事情远远不止上面提到的几件,其他措施比如搭建方舱医院、大规模核酸检测、设置14天的隔离观察期等等都值得探讨和学习。遗憾的是,许多欧美国家却没能学以致用,而深陷抗疫“拉锯战”。


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