Sang PhanToo difficult, likely 0 percent for Vietnam. China has more than 60 years to develop her economy, although they have some conficts with their neighbors but generally, this conflict or war didnt affect so much to them. They also open economy ahead Vietnam 10 years ( 1979 and 1986). Vietnam loosed gold time to develop economy ( from 80s of 20 century) when it was dragged to war with neighbors. In some big cities like Shanghai, Guangzhou, It already was the developed city same like any big cities from developed country. The Vietnamese education is copied from Chinese education. You maybe dont know but except subject like History…We studied same as these things Chinese were studied. China has big country, It mean they have big market, big resource, big human resources. It is reason why they has big company like Alibaba, Tecent, Huawei..even when these company dont invest in oversea. Dont mention to Vietnam was embargoed by US and Western until 1995 and China until 1991. From my observation, In the next 30 years, Vietnam will overcome Thailand, Philipines, Malay about GDP size, But China, I dont believe, except WW3 happen.
這太困難了，越南超越中國成為發達國家的可能性為0%。中國有六十多年的時間來發展經濟，儘管他們與鄰國有一些衝突，但總的來說，這場衝突或戰爭對他們沒有太大的影響。
他們還在早於越南十年（1979年和1986年）開放經濟。越南從20世紀80年代開始發展經濟（從20世紀80年代開始），當時它被拖入與鄰國的戰爭中。
像上海、廣州這樣的大城市，它們已經是發達城市，就像發達國家的任何大城市一樣。越南的教育制度是從中國的教育體制中複製過來的。你可能不知道，除了像歷史這樣的科目。我們學習的東西和中國人學習的東西是一樣的。
中國是個大國，這意味著它們有巨大的市場，豐富的資源，充足的人力資源。這就是為什麼他們有像阿里巴巴、騰訊、華為這樣的大公司的原因。即使這些公司不投資海外。
在1995年之前，美國和西方都沒有與越南打交道，直到1991年才被美國和西方國家解除禁止。根據我的觀察，在未來的30年裡，越南將戰勝泰國、菲律賓、馬來群島的GDP規模，但我不相信越南會超越中國，除了第三次世界發生。
David WeiserNo. China is significantly ahead of Vietnam in terms of economic development. It has a GDP per capita about four times that of Vietnam, and economic growth rates are very similar, though I’m pretty sure Vietnam’s are a bit higher. China is likely going to reach developed status before.
不可能。在經濟發展方面，中國遠遠領先於越南。它的人均GDP是越南的四倍，經濟增長率也非常相似，儘管我很確定越南的增長率要高一點。中國很可能會在越南之前達到發達國家的地位。
Edmund TaBy the sheer size difference, I’d say yes.It is important to remember also that “developed nation” also has a people/cultural aspect, and is not only about infrastructure and economics. Education, gender issues all need to be considered too…
由於體量的差異，我會說是的。重要的是要記住，“發達國家”也包括人民和文化的方面，而且不僅僅是基礎設施和經濟。另外教育，性別問題都需要考慮。
Zhang Dayuunder extreme circumstances, like a hot war between us and china extreme.vienam is doing good work. it just that china is too big, the economic implication of that is huge.
在極端情況下，比如美國和中國之間發生了一場激烈的戰爭越南才會超過中國。但越南現在做得很好。只不過中國太大了，所以中國經濟上的影響是巨大的
Kev BughMore importantly, will Vietnam become a developed country before they experience population crisis ? Vietnam’s birth rate is bellow replacement level and its average population is aging. This is now the best time to improve the country’s economy before it’s too late. The main obstacle is China. Due to larger population, production cost and labor wage are cheaper than Vietnam, which makes it hard for Vietnam to compete with the price. However, as China’s labor wage is getting more expensive, Vietnam will get the chance to compete in price. Let’s just hope it will happen sooner before it’s too late.
更重要的是，越南在經歷人口危機之前會成為一個發達國家嗎？越南的出生率處在更替水平，其平均人口正在老化。現在是改善國家經濟的最佳時機，應該避免為時過晚。
越南發展的主要的障礙是中國。由於中國人口的增加，生產成本和勞動力
工資比越南便宜，這使得越南很難與價格競爭。然而，隨著中國的勞動力工資變得越來越昂貴，越南將有機會在價格上競爭。讓我們只希望它能早點發生，以免為時過晚。Siddhartha SahasrabuddheIt depends on your definition of developed. Countries that are considered developed still have huge amounts of farmland with poor people barely scraping by living there, i.e the United States. I do not believe that Vietnam will develop before China due the large difference in economic output between the two.
這取決於你對發達國家的定義。那些被認為是發達國家的國家仍然有大量的耕地，窮人勉強勉強維持生計。比如說美國。我不認為越南會在中國之前成為發達國家，因為兩國經濟產出的存在巨大的鴻溝。
DalongIt will be.In dream.
這可能會發生在。。。。。。。。。。夢裡
轉自西諾網
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