House prices tumble in London against rises across rest of UK
倫敦房價下跌，英國其他地區房價上漲
London property experts say buyers are “sensing blood in the water”, with sellers forced to cut prices steeply
倫敦房地產專家稱買家“靜觀其變”，賣家被迫急劇降價。
Photograph: Alamy 照片:Alamy
House prices fell across much of southern England in March.
今年3月，英國南部大部分地區房價下跌。
House prices in London tumbled in March, with the annualised rate of inflation dropping to minus 0.7%, the steepest fall since 2009, according to official Land Registry figures for March.
3月份倫敦房價下跌，年通脹率下降 0.7%，為2009年以來的最大降幅。
The falls in the capital contrast with continued rises across the rest of the UK, with the overall rate of house price inflation at 4.2%, with the highest rise in Scotland at 6.7%.
倫敦房價的下跌與其他地區持續上漲形成了鮮明對比。英國的房價總體通脹率為4.2%，蘇格蘭的通脹率最高，為6.7%。
Property experts in London said buyers are “sensing blood in the water”, with sellers forced to cut prices steeply to ensure a sale.
倫敦的房地產專家表示，買家正在“靜觀其變”，賣家被迫大幅降價以確保銷售。
Jonathan Hopper of Garrington Property Finders said: “London is paying a painfully high price for its stellar run of price rises and a correction is now under way in several parts of the capital.”
加林頓房地產公司的Jonathan Hopper說：“倫敦為其房價上漲付出了慘痛的代價，現在首都的幾個地區正在進行調整。”
The ONS, which compiles the house price index based on Land Registry data, said prices in London have been falling since the EU referendum in June 2016.
國家統計局根據土地註冊處數據編制的房價指數表示，自2016年6月脫歐公投以來，倫敦房價一直在下跌。
“This is the lowest annual growth in London since September 2009, when it was negative 3.2%. London has shown a general slowdown in its annual growth rate since mid-2016. The second-lowest annual growth was in the north-east, where prices increased by 2.1% in the year to March 2018.”
這是自2009年9月以來倫敦的最低年增長率，當時它為負3.2%。自2016年年中以來，倫敦的年增長率普遍放緩。第二低的年度增長是在英國東北部，在截至2018年3月的一年中價格上漲了2.1%。
The ONS said the average price of a home in the UK in March was £224,000, £500 less than the month before but £9,000 higher than in March 2017.
英國國家統計局表示,英國的平均房價是£224000,與上個月相比降低了£500，但比2017年3月的房價高出£9000。
It is notable that the 4.2% annualised inflation figure recorded by the ONS is significantly higher than the figures from indices produced by Halifax and Nationwide, which stand at 2.2% and 2.1% respectively.
值得注意的是，統計局所記錄的4.2%的年化通脹數據明顯高於哈利法克斯和全國的指數，分別為2.2%和2.1%。
Land Registry data is regarded as “backward looking” as it records actual prices paid and then registered, compared to the indices from the lenders, which try to capture price activity at the point of sale.
土地註冊處的數據被認為是“回顧過去”，因為它記錄了實際的價格並且做了登記，與銀行的指數相比，後者試圖在銷售點捕捉價格活動。
Separate figures from UK Finance reveal that transaction activity in the capital has declined over the past year. The number of first-time buyers fell by 3% while the number of home movers dropped by 4.3% in the first quarter of 2018, compared with the same period a year earlier.
英國金融機構的數據顯示，過去一年，倫敦的交易活動有所下降。首次購房者的數量下降了3%，而與去年同期相比，2018年第一季度搬遷家庭的數量下降了4.3%。
However, Sam Mitchell of estate agency HouseSimple.com said the picture outside London is very different.
然而，房地產中介公司HouseSimple.com山姆•米切爾表示，倫敦以外的情況截然不同。
“For years we have talked about the north-south divide, with house prices in the north struggling to keep pace with booming price growth in the south. But that trend has been turned on its head,” Mitchell said.
“多年來，我們一直在討論南北差距，北方的房價難以跟上南方房價的快速增長。”但這一趨勢已經扭轉。
“Compare London to Liverpool. While London house prices are in negative growth territory, in Liverpool, average prices are up 12.5% over the same period, making it one of the strongest property markets in the UK right now. Where affordability has been a major problem in the south of England, the north offers value, particularly for families looking for larger homes.”
“比較倫敦和利物浦。儘管倫敦房價處於負增長區間，但在利物浦，平均房價同期上漲了12.5%，使其成為英國目前最強勁的房地產市場之一。在英國南部，負擔能力一直是一個主要問題，而北方則提供了價值，尤其是對那些尋找更大房子的家庭來說。
Economists expect house price inflation to be around 2% in 2018, with some pencilling in only a modest recovery in 2019.
經濟學家預計，到2018年，房價通脹將在2%左右，其中一些預計將在2019年實現溫和復甦。
Howard Archer, the chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club, said: “The latest data and survey evidence largely point to lacklustre housing market activity as it is pressurised by still-limited consumer purchasing power, fragile confidence and concerns of further gradual Bank of England interest rate rises following November’s first hike since 2007.
迪士尼項目俱樂部首席經濟顧問Howard Archer說:“最新的數據和調查證據主要指向低迷房地產市場活動，但是消費者有限的購買力、脆弱的信心、以及自2007年11月以來首次升息所帶來的對央行利率增長的擔憂使得房地產市場仍然壓力山大。
“We expect house price gains over 2018 will be limited to a modest 2%. At this stage, we expect prices to rise no more than 3% in 2019.”
“我們預計2018年的房價漲幅將僅為2%。”在這個階段，我們預計2019年的價格不會超過3%。
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