原油价格历史性暴跌到负值,咱们加油免费了?

(原文翻译提供——尚恩教育)

原油暴跌会影响我们的生活嘛? 由于全球石油需求萎靡、库存高企下储油能力不足及市场投机行为等多重原因,纽约原油期货价格20日出现历史性暴跌,导致市场恐慌情绪。那么,我们每天都要开的车,要加的油,是不是可以不用付钱了呢?我们来看外国媒体CNN是怎么回答的。

原油价格历史性暴跌到负值,咱们加油免费了?

Even though a historic decline for oil sent prices negative on Monday, don't expect to get paid to fill up your gas tank any time soon.

尽管上油价在周一出现了历史性的下跌,导致油价达到负值,但是也不要指望把你的油箱加满就能很快得到补偿。

There were some unique conditions driving oil prices below $0 for the first time ever. And more importantly, crude oil prices only have an indirect impact on the retail price for a gallon of gasoline.

有一些特别的条件使得油价第一次跌破每桶0美元。更重要的是,原油价格仅仅对每加仑汽油的零售价格有间接的影响。

The huge drop in US gasoline consumption in recent weeks due to stay-at-home orders during the COVID-19 outbreak has pushed down both oil and gasoline prices, since there is excess supply of both. And the space needed to store that excess supply is running short, which is part of what led to the negative oil price on Monday.

在新冠病毒爆发期间,大家都被要求待在家,这导致美国近几周汽油消费大幅下降,打击了石油和汽油价格,两者都供过于求。而储存这些过剩石油所需的地方越来越少,这就是导致周一油价跌破零的部分原因。

原油价格历史性暴跌到负值,咱们加油免费了?

"With the expiration of the futures, and program trading and the like, prices can run amok," said Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst for the Oil Price Information Service. "Today that ecosystem ran amok."

石油价格信息服务中心的首席石油分析师汤姆·克洛萨说:“随着期货和程序交易等的到期,油价可能会失控。”“今天,这个行业的生态系统乱了套。”

Crude is not the best predictor of retail gasoline price. Instead, wholesale gasoline prices that determine what gas stations will pay for gasoline. And gasoline futures did not have the same wild swing Monday, closing down only a few cents at about 67 cents a gallon. That's actually close to twice the price they were trading at just last week.

原油不是汽油零售价格的最佳预测指标。相反的,汽油批发价格(决定加油站为汽油支付多少钱的价格)才是最佳指标。汽油期货周一没有出现同样剧烈的波动,收盘价格每加仑67美分左右,仅下跌几美分。实际上,接近他们上周交易价格的两倍。

原油价格历史性暴跌到负值,咱们加油免费了?

And even wholesale gasoline futures don't fully determine the price that a gas station will pay for their product. Most have contracts that determine the price, albeit with future prices factored into that.

即使是批发汽油期货也不能完全决定加油站的进油价。大部分公司的合同决定了这个价格,尽管合同一般会考虑期货的价格。

Once you've factored in the cost of wholesale gasoline, there are all the other costs that go into the price you pay at the pump.

一旦你考虑了汽油批发的成本,仍然有其他的费用当你在加油站付钱的时候需要考虑。

The US Energy Information Administration estimates that in 2019, when the full-year average stood at $2.60 a gallon, the average transportation and marketing cost was about 39 cents per gallon of gas. Refining costs and profits added another 34 cents on average.

美国能源情报署(US Energy Information Administration)估计,在2019年全年平均油价为每加仑2.60美元时,平均运输和营销成本约为每加仑39美分。炼油成本和利润平均再增加34美分。

原油价格历史性暴跌到负值,咱们加油免费了?

With the volume of gasoline pumped falling by a half or more, many station owners are increasing the profit margin they charge on each gallon by a few cents to make up for the sharp drop in demand.

随着加油的量下降了一半甚至更多,许多加油站老板将每加仑汽油的价格提高了几美分来保持利润以弥补需求的大幅下降。

So unfortunately, even though you could buy a whole barrel of crude oil for nothing on Monday, a single gallon of gas will still cost you something.

所以不幸的是,即使你可以在周一不用出钱就可以买到一桶原油,但是加一加仑的汽油仍要你付钱的。


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