3月28日至29日，美國貿易代表萊特希澤、姆努欽將訪華並出席在北京舉行第八輪中美經貿高級別磋商，而劉鶴副總理將於4月初應邀訪美，在華盛頓出席第九輪中美經貿高級別磋商。我們希望看到貿易磋商順利進行並最終達成協議。
From March 28 to 29, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will visit China for the eighth round of China-U.S. high-level economic and trade consultations in Beijing. This should be followed by a visit to Washington D.C. by Chinese Vice Premier Liu He for the ninth round of talks in early April, as both sides step up their efforts to resolve the trade frictions.
▲ 美中夥伴關係基金會執行主席約翰·米勒-懷特
John Milligan-Whyte, executive Chairman of the America-China Partnership Foundation
美中夥伴關係基金會執行主席約翰·米勒-懷特博士被中國媒體稱為“當代埃德加·斯諾”和“21世紀基辛格”，因為他多年致力於中美兩國在經濟發展和國家安全維護上的合作協同。他和妻子戴敏共同撰寫了《美中夥伴關係》系列叢書，為21世紀的中美關係和世界上最大的兩個經濟體以及中美兩大文明的合作創建了一個新的思想流派和宏大戰略。
John Milligan-Whyte, J.D., Executive Chairman of the America-China Partnership Foundation in New York, is referred to by China's media as the "new Edgar Snow" and "21st century Kissinger" due to his efforts to align the economic growth and national security of the US and China. He and his wife Dai Min are co-authors of the initial books in the America China Partnership Book Series that created a new school of thought for 21st century US-China relations and grand strategy for the collaboration of the world's two largest economies and the American and Chinese civilizations.
在這一關鍵節點，China Focus專訪了米勒-懷特先生，聽他縱論中美兩國和平共處的必要性，為什麼“一帶一路”倡議能夠引發全球熱議，以及為什麼任何一個經濟體都離不開國際合作。
At this pivotal point, China Focus interviewed Milligan-Whyte to find out why peaceful coexistence between China and the U.S. is imperative, how the Belt and Road Initiative has become a global phenomenon and why without worldwide cooperation, all economies will fail.
如何看待中國在世界舞臺上的地位？
How Do You View China's Role on the World Stage?
米勒-懷特：中國想要實現自己的抱負，又自感責任重大。因為，中國的成功基於和平共處和貿易投資。如果中國成功了，全世界都將從中獲益。
Milligan-Whyte: I think China has a big responsibility to live up to its own ideals and if it does that, the world will work. China's success was based on peaceful coexistence and trade and investment.
中國雖然是世界第二大經濟體，但從人均財富排名來看，中國可能要落到世界近100名。當今國際社會上，新一輪“中國威脅論”甚囂塵上。然而，中國所構成的唯一威脅是其技術發展和全球化戰略減少了美國人的就業機會，但這是無法改變的。美國精英階層認識到中國正在崛起，對此他們束手無策，所以他們只能常常毫無根據地抨擊中國。
China has the world's second largest economy today and yet it still may be the 100th country in the world in terms of per capita wealth. The only threat it poses is the fact that its technology and globalization have robbed Americans of jobs. There's nothing that can be done about that. The American elites recognize that China is really going to take off and they realize that they are not going to be able to keep up, so they're lashing out.
1965年，美國舉行了一場被稱為 “囚徒困境” 的競賽，提出最佳策略的一方將獲得一百萬美元的獎金。最終，提出 “慷慨的針鋒相對” 策略的一方獲得了這筆款項，這個策略在後來的教科書中被稱作和平共處理念。這個理念告訴我們，在博弈中，如果只是複製對方的一招一勢，那麼任何一方都無法獲勝，人們往往會最終意識到這一點，並選擇與他人合作。
In 1965, there was a contest in the U.S. with a million-dollar prize for whoever came up with the best strategy, in what's called "the prisoner's dilemma" where two parties compete. The million dollars went to something called the "Generous Tit for Tat" strategy, which in our books we explain is basically peaceful coexistence. By copying whatever move the opponent makes, they are unable to ever win and eventually they'll get around to cooperating.
博弈論認為，在失去競爭優勢之前，人們會選擇零和遊戲策略。一旦失去了優勢，他們就會開始合作。美國人早晚有一天會開始和中國開展合作，他們現在只是被中國的發展震撼到了而已。
In game theory, people use zero-sum game strategies until the competitive advantage they have disappears. Then they collaborate. Americans will get around to cooperating, they're just in shock right now.
如何看待“一帶一路”倡議？
What Do You Think of the Belt and Road Initiative?
米勒-懷特：我對“一帶一路”倡議的第一印象是，這是為中國經濟創建外部聯繫的絕妙策略。起初它只涉及了“一帶一路”周邊的國家，後來一直髮展到歐洲，直至南美洲。現在，“一帶一路”確實成為了一個全球現象。推動“一帶一路”發展，不僅造福中國人民，更造福共建國家的人民。
Milligan-Whyte: When I first learned about the Belt and Road Initiative, my first impression was that it is a brilliant strategy in creating links for the Chinese economy. Initially it was the Belt and Road, then it went all the way to Europe and even on to South America. It truly is a global phenomenon. It's good for China and the other countries who've joined the initiative.
我十分欣賞習近平主席提出的構建人類命運共同體的設想。我想不到還有誰能和他一樣如此關注全球人類的命運。中國已經證明和平共處不是一個壞主意。相反，這是一個天才的創意，它關乎人類的未來。
I think very highly of Chinese President Xi Jinping's formulation of building a community with a shared future for mankind, and I can't think of anybody else who's doing as much to frame that focus. China has proved that peaceful coexistence is not a silly idea. It is a genius idea and that's the future of mankind.
如何評價中國的發展？
How Would You Evaluate China's Development?
米勒-懷特：在經濟總量方面，中國正成為世界領先者。中國已經從一個非常貧窮的國家發展成為世界第二大經濟體。在此進程中，七億農民放下鋤頭，走出田間地頭，到城市務工、定居，發揮其更大的價值。
Milligan-Whyte: It's becoming the leading country in terms of the size of its economy. China has gone from being a very poor country to having the second largest GDP. It has taken 700 million people that were working on farms and put them in more productive roles in the city.
除非歐洲或美國經濟衰落，否則我對中國的經濟發展非常樂觀。中國在歷史長河中曾經佔據非常重要的地位，中國人民吃苦耐勞、敢於拼搏，中國政府穩定且非常能幹，這都決定了中國將繼續保持自己的發展優勢。但是，中國的成功也取決於周邊國家的發展。如果周邊國家經濟出現滑坡，那麼中國的經濟也會出現倒退。
I'm very optimistic about China's economic development unless the European or American economies fail. China will still do better than other countries because of the nature of the Chinese people, the nature of where they are in their history and the fact that they have a stable government. But China's success depends upon the success of its neighbors. If its neighbors fail, China's economic success will roll back.
我視中國為未來世界的領導者，而目前她面臨著如何協調發展的問題。中國必須堅持自己的理念，即實現自身的和諧發展以及與其他國家的和平共處。
I see China as a future world leader, and the problem that it faces is how to harmonize. China has to live up to its own ideals of harmony and peaceful coexistence.
撰文 / China Focus團隊
圖片 / 網絡
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