關鍵詞（Keyword）：TED演講，舒適區，風險，幸運，運氣，激勵，影響力
演講簡介：
運氣是什麼呢？運氣像風， 不斷地吹， 有時靜止不動， 有時，則陣陣襲來， 有時，它會從你 根本想不到的方向吹來。聽斯坦福大學教授Tina Seelig分享關於抓住幸運的三個因素，幫助我們正視各種想法，捕捉幸運之風，發現和抓住機遇。
TED演講：如何讓你擁有更多的幸運（中英字幕版）
演講者：Tina Seelig | TED Salon: Brightline Initiative
主 題：The little risks you can take to increase your luck
整 理：tedtalking
雙語演講稿：
I've spent nearly two decades observing what makes people luckier than others and trying to help people increase their luck. You see, I teach entrepreneurship, and we all know that most new ventures fail, and innovators and entrepreneurs need all the luck they can get.
我花了近二十年的時間， 觀察是什麼使有些人比他人更幸運， 並試圖幫助人們提升運氣。 我教授創業學， 大家都知道，多數 新企業均以失敗告終， 創新者和企業家需要 所有可以得到的運氣。
So what is luck? Luck is defined as success or failure apparently caused by chance. Apparently. That's the operative word. It looks like it's chance because we rarely see all the levers that come into play to make people lucky. But I've realized, by watching so long, that luck is rarely a lightning strike, isolated and dramatic. It's much more like the wind, blowing constantly. Sometimes it's calm, and sometimes it blows in gusts, and sometimes it comes from directions that you didn't even imagine.
那麼，運氣是什麼呢？ 運氣，被定義為顯然由 偶然原因導致的成功或失敗。 ‘’顯然‘’， 是其中的關鍵詞。 看起來運氣具有偶然性， 是因為我們極少看到所有的 因素同時作用而產生好運。 但通過長期的觀察，我發現， 運氣很少像閃電那樣， 孤立而戲劇性地降臨。 它更像風， 不斷地吹， 有時靜止不動， 有時，則陣陣襲來， 有時，它會從你 根本想不到的方向吹來。
So how do you catch the winds of luck? It's easy, but it's not obvious. So I'm going to share three things with you that you can do to build a sail to capture the winds of luck. The first thing you want to do is to change your relationship with yourself. Be willing to take small risks that get you out of your comfort zone. Now, when we're children, we do this all the time. We have to do this if we're going to learn how to walk or talk or ride a bike or even quantum mechanics. Right? We need to go from someone one week who doesn't ride a bike to, next week, someone who does. And this requires us to get out of our comfort zone and take some risks. The problem is, as we get older, we rarely do this. We sort of lock down the sense of who we are and don't stretch anymore.
那麼，如何捕捉幸運之風呢？ 做起來很簡單，卻並非 人人知曉其中的奧妙。 所以，我要分享三件 你們可以做到的事情， 去創建一面風帆， 以捕捉幸運之風。 你要做的第一件事， 就是改變你與自己的關係， 去承擔小小的風險， 走出自己的舒適區， 這是我們兒時常做的事。 如果要學走路、學說話、 學騎自行車、甚至量子力學， 就必須走出舒適區。 我們必須經歷 這周還不會騎自行車呢， 下週就會騎的過程。 這需要我們走出舒適區， 並承擔一些風險。 問題是，隨著年齡的增長， 我們就很少這樣做了。 我們變得喜歡固步自封， 不再拓展自己的能力。
Now, with my students, I spend a lot of time giving them encouragement to get out of their comfort zone and take some risks. How do I do this? Well, I start out by having them fill out a risk-o-meter. Now, it's basically a fun thing we developed in our class where they map out what risks they're willing to take. And it becomes clear very quickly to them that risk-taking is not binary. There are intellectual risks and physical risks and financial risks and emotional risks and social risks and ethical risks and political risks. And once they do this, they compare their risk profiles with others, and they quickly realize that they're all really different.
對於我的學生， 我花了很多時間鼓勵他們 走出舒適區，並承擔一些風險。 我怎麼做的呢？ 我先讓他們填寫風險承受表， 這其實就是我們在課堂 開展的一項有趣的活動， 讓他們標出願意承擔的風險。 他們很快就會明白， 承擔風險可不是非零即一那麼簡單， 有智力風險、物理風險、金融風險、 情感風險、社會風險、 道德風險和政治風險。 一旦確定自己肯承擔的風險後， 他們會將風險表與他人的比較， 然後很快就意識到， 大家的風險表竟然截然不同。
I then encourage them to stretch, to take some risks that get them out of their comfort zone. For example, I might ask them to do an intellectual risk and try to tackle a problem they haven't tried before; or a social risk, talking to someone sitting next to them on the train; or an emotional risk, maybe telling someone they really care about how they feel.
然後我鼓勵他們挑戰一下， 承擔一些風險， 使自己走出舒適區。 例如，我可能會要求他們 冒一下智力風險， 設法解決一個他們以前 從沒嘗試過的問題； 或社會風險，在火車上 與鄰座的旅客交談； 或者是情緒上的風險， 比如告訴真正在乎的人 自己對他們的感受。
I do this myself all the time. About a dozen years ago, I was on an airplane, early, early morning flight on my way to Ecuador. And normally, I would just put on my headphones and go to sleep, wake up, do some work, but I decided to take a little risk, and I started a conversation with the man sitting next to me. I introduced myself, and I learned that he was a publisher. Interesting. We ended up having a fascinating conversation. I learned all about the future of the publishing industry. So about three quarters of the way through the flight, I decided to take another risk, and I opened up my laptop and I shared with him a book proposal I put together for something I was doing in my class. And he was very polite, he read it, and he said, "You know what, Tina, this isn't right for us, but thank you so much for sharing." It's OK. That risk didn't work out. I shut my laptop. At the end of the flight, we exchanged contact information.
我自己一直這樣做。 大約 12 年前，我在 很早的一班 去往厄瓜多爾的飛機上。 通常情況下，我會戴上耳機， 先睡一覺，睡醒再工作一會兒， 但我決定冒點兒風險， 我開始和旁邊的人聊天。 我介紹了自己，隨後 得知他是一個出版商。 還真是巧啊。 由此我們有了一段精彩的談話， 我瞭解到了出版業的未來。 因此，當飛行旅程 進行到大約四分之三時， 我決定再冒一次險， 我打開筆記本電腦，和他分享 我整理的一本書的提案， 這些東西是我上課使用的。 他很有禮貌，讀完以後， 他說， “知道嗎，蒂娜， 我們這樣做不太合適， 但是，很感謝你的分享”。 這次冒險沒有成功，不過沒關係。 我關上了筆記本電腦。 在飛行結束時, 我們互留了聯繫方式。
A couple of months later, I reached out to him, and I said, "Mark, would you like to come to my class? I'm doing a project on reinventing the book, the future of publishing." And he said, "Great. I'd love to come." So he came to my class. We had a great experience.
幾個月後，我又聯繫他， 說："馬克，你願意來我的課堂嗎？ 我在做一個有關‘重塑書本’的項目， 有關出版業的未來。” 他說："好極了。我很樂意去。” 所以他來到我的課堂， 我們相處得非常愉快。
A few months later, I wrote to him again. This time, I sent him a bunch of video clips from another project my students had done. He was so intrigued by one of the projects the students had done, he thought there might be a book in it, and he wanted to meet those students.
幾個月後，我又寫信給他， 這次，我發給他一組視頻剪輯， 這些剪輯來自學生們 做的另一個項目。 學生們做的項目中， 有一個引起了他極大的興趣， 他認為可以出一本相關的書， 而且，他想面見那些學生。
I have to tell you, I was a little bit hurt.
實話說，我有點小小的受傷。
(Laughter)
(笑聲)
I mean, he wanted to do a book with my students and not with me, but OK, it's all right. So I invited him to come down, and he and his colleagues came to Stanford and met with the students, and afterwards, we had lunch together. And one of his editors said to me, "Hey, have you ever considered writing a book?"
我是說，他想和我的學生們 出版一本書，而不是和我， 不過，沒啥大不了。 因此我邀請他過來， 他和同事們來到斯坦福， 和同學們見了面， 隨後我們共進了午餐。 他的一位編輯問我， “嘿，你有沒有想過要寫一本書啊？”
I said, "Funny you should ask." And I pulled out the exact same proposal that I had showed his boss a year earlier. Within two weeks, I had a contract, and within two years, the book had sold over a million copies around the world.
我說，“你問得真巧，” 於是我拿出一本書的提案給他， 就是一年前給他老闆看的那本。 兩週內，我們就簽了合同， 兩年內，這本書在全球 銷售了超過一百萬本。
(Applause)
（掌聲）
Now, you might say, "Oh, you're so lucky." But of course I was lucky, but that luck resulted from a series of small risks I took, starting with saying hello. And anyone can do this, no matter where you are in your life, no matter where you are in the world -- even if you think you're the most unlucky person, you can do this by taking little risks that get you out of your comfort zone. You start building a sail to capture luck.
現在，你可能會說， “噢，你太幸運了。” 當然，我是幸運的呀， 但幸運來自 我承擔的一系列小風險， 而這一切，都是從打招呼開始的。 誰都能做到這一點， 無論你在人生的哪個階段， 無論你身在何處， 即使你認為自己是最倒黴的人， 也可以通過承擔小風險， 把自己帶出舒適區， 開始打造那一葉捕捉好運的帆。
The second thing you want to do is to change your relationship with other people. You need to understand that everyone who helps you on your journey is playing a huge role in getting you to your goals. And if you don't show appreciation, not only are you not closing the loop, but you're missing an opportunity. When someone does something for you, they're taking that time that they could be spending on themselves or someone else, and you need to acknowledge what they're doing.
第二件要做的事情， 就是改善與他人的關係。 要明白，每個 在旅途中幫助過你的人， 在你實現目標的過程中， 都起了非常重要作用。 若你沒有心懷感激之情， 這不僅僅是你沒與 他們互動交流的問題， 而是讓你錯過了一次機會。 當有人為你做某件事時， 他們把本可以花在 自己或別人身上的時間 花在了你身上， 你要對他們的行為表示感謝。
Now, I run three fellowship programs at Stanford, and they are very competitive to get into, and when I send out the letters to those students who don't get in, I always know there are going to be people who are disappointed. Some of the people who are disappointed send me notes, complaining. Some of them send notes saying what could I do to make myself more successful next time around? And every once in a while, someone sends me a note thanking me for the opportunity.
目前，我管理著斯坦福的 三個獎學金項目， 這三個項目的競爭都很激烈， 當我寄信給那些 沒有入圍的學生時， 我知道有人會很失望。 有些失望的人給我寫信，抱怨。 有的人寫信問我， 自己該如何做， 才能讓自己下次更成功？ 時不時地， 也有人寫信來， 感謝我給他們的機會。
This happened about seven years ago. A young man named Brian sent me a beautiful note saying, "I know I've been rejected from this program twice, but I want to thank you for the opportunity. I learned so much through the process of applying."
有一件大概七年前發生的事， 一個叫布萊恩的年輕人給 我寄來一封感人的信，他說： “我已經被該項目拒絕了兩次， 但我很想感謝您給的機會， 在申請獎學金的過程中， 我學到了很多東西。”
I was so taken by the graciousness of his message that I invited him to come and meet me. And we spent some time chatting and cooked up an idea for an independent study project together. He was on the football team at Stanford, and he decided to do a project on looking at leadership in that context. We got to know each other incredibly well through that quarter, and he took the project that he started working on in the independent study and turned it, ultimately, into a company called Play for Tomorrow, where he teaches kids from disadvantaged backgrounds how to, essentially, craft the lives they dream to live.
他信中的感恩話語 極大地觸動了我， 因此，我邀請他來見我。 我們一起聊了一會兒， 共同想出了一個 "自主學習項目"的主意。 他當時是斯坦福的足球隊成員， 他決定做一個這方面 關於領導力的項目。 那半個學期裡， 我們很好地瞭解了彼此， 他拿到了自己著手準備的 “自主學習項目"， 最終，把它變成了一個 叫做 "為明天而戰" 的公司， 在那裡，他教那些家庭 狀況不佳的孩子們， 如何從根本上精心規劃 他們夢想的生活。
Now, the important thing about this story is that we both ended up catching the winds of luck as a result of his thank-you note. But it was the winds that we didn't expect in the first place.
這個故事的重點是， 我倆都抓住了幸運之風， 一切都源於他的感謝信， 這是我們倆起初根本預料不到的。
Over the course of the last couple of years, I've come up with some tactics for my own life to help me really foster appreciation. My favorite is that at the end of every single day, I look at my calendar and I review all the people I met with, and I send thank-you notes to every single person. It only takes a few minutes, but at the end of every day, I feel incredibly grateful and appreciative, and I promise you it has increased my luck.
在過去的幾年裡， 我為自己的生活制定了一些策略， 來幫助我真正地培養感激之心。 我最喜歡在每天晚上， 看著日曆，回想所有 我（今天）見過的人， 並給每個人發一封感謝信、 只需要幾分鐘的時間， 但在每一天的結束時， 我都感到特別感恩和感激， 我向各位擔保， 這個過程增加了我的好運。
So first, you need to take some risks and get out of your comfort zone. Second, you need to show appreciation. And third, you want to change your relationship with ideas. Most people look at new ideas that come there way and they judge them. "That's a great idea" or "That's a terrible idea." But it's actually much more nuanced. Ideas are neither good or bad. And in fact, the seeds of terrible ideas are often something truly remarkable.
因此，首先你需要冒一下險， 走出你的舒適區。 其次，你需要心懷感激。 第三，你需要改變與想法的關係。 大多數的人會面對新想法， 並對其進行評判， "這是一個很好的主意 " 或 "這個想法很糟糕"。 但這個過程實際上很微妙。 主意並沒有好壞之分。 事實上，糟糕的想法產生的結果 往往才是真正了不起的東西。
One of my favorite exercises in my classes on creativity is to help students foster an attitude of looking at terrible ideas through the lens of possibilities. So I give them a challenge: to create an idea for a brand new restaurant. They have to come up with the best ideas for a new restaurant and the worst ideas for a new restaurant. So the best ideas are things like a restaurant on a mountaintop with a beautiful sunset, or a restaurant on a boat with a gorgeous view. And the terrible ideas are things like a restaurant in a garbage dump, or a restaurant with terrible service that's really dirty, or a restaurant that serves cockroach sushi.
在課堂上，我最喜歡的 關於創新的練習之一， 是幫助學生培養一種 以可能性的視角 來看待糟糕想法的態度。 所以，我給了他們一個挑戰： 為一家全新的餐廳想點子。 他們必須為新餐館想出金點子 和最壞的點子。 金點子，如欣賞美麗日落的 山頂餐廳， 或能觀賞靚麗景色的船上餐廳； 糟糕的點子，如建在 垃圾堆裡的餐館， 或一家服務差、環境髒的餐館， 或是一家供應蟑螂壽司的餐館。
(Laughter)
（笑聲）
So they hand all the ideas to me, I read the great ideas out loud, and then I rip them up and throw them away. I then take the horrible ideas and redistribute them. Each team now has an idea that another team thought was horrible, and their challenge is to turn it into something brilliant.
他們把所有的點子交給我， 我大聲讀出那些金點子， 然後把它們撕毀、扔掉； 接下來，我把糟糕的 點子重新分配給他們。 現在，每個隊都有一個 另一隊認為很糟糕的點子， 他們的挑戰就是 讓這些點子化腐朽為神奇。
Here's what happens. Within about 10 seconds, someone says, "This is a fabulous idea." And they have about three minutes before they pitch the idea to the class. So the restaurant in the garbage dump? What does that turn into? Well, they collect all the extra food from Michelin star restaurants that was going to get thrown out, and they have another restaurant at a much lower price, with all the leftovers. Pretty cool? Or the restaurant that's dirty with terrible service? Well, that turns into a restaurant that's a training ground for future restauranteurs to figure out how to avoid all the pitfalls. And the restaurant with cockroach sushi? It turns into a sushi bar with all sorts of really interesting and exotic ingredients.
接下來，奇妙的事情發生了： 在大約10秒內，有人說， "這真是個絕妙的主意。" 他們約有三分鐘的準備時間， 然後向全班兜售他們的點子。 那個垃圾堆裡的餐館會變成什麼呢？ 他們從米其林星級餐廳收集那些 將被白白扔掉的多餘食物， 他們還有另一家價格更低的餐館， 供應的都是剩飯。 棒不棒？ 那服務不好、環境骯髒的餐廳呢？ 它變成了一家餐廳訓練場， 供未來餐廳老闆找出 如何避免所有的隱患。 賣蟑螂壽司的餐廳呢？ 它變成了一個壽司酒吧， 裡面融入了各種真正 有趣而富有異國情調的元素。
If you look around at the companies, the ventures that are really innovative around you, the ones that we now take for granted that have changed our life, well, you know what? They all started out as crazy ideas. They started ideas that when they pitched to other people, most people said, "That's crazy, it will never work."
如果你環顧四周的公司， 你周圍那些真正創新的企業， 那些我們坦然接受的 改變我們生活的公司和企業， 噢，你知道嗎？ 他們都是從瘋狂的想法開始的。 在向其他人推銷時， 他們就開始實施想法了， 多數人說"這太離譜了, 根本行不通的。”
So, yes, sometimes people were born into terrible circumstances, and sometimes, luck is a lightning bolt that hits us with something wonderful or something terrible. But the winds of luck are always there, and if you're willing to take some risks, if you're willing to really go out and show appreciation and willing to really look at ideas, even if they're crazy, through the lens of possibilities, you can build a bigger and bigger sail to catch the winds of luck.
是的，有時人們 出生在糟糕的環境中， 有時，運氣像一道閃電， 用奇妙或可怕的東西擊中我們。 但幸運之風總是在那裡， 如果你願意承擔一些風險， 如果你願意真正走出去， 並心懷感激之情， 願意真正去正視各種想法， 即使這些想法很瘋狂， 通過可能性的視角， 你仍然可以打造一面更大的帆， 去捕捉幸運之風。
Thank you.
謝謝！
(Applause)
（掌聲）
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